Lokomotive Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo?
Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 BFC Dynamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | BFC Dynamo 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 4-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 0-2 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 4-0 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BFC Dynamo vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| BFC Dynamo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotive Leipzig sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 5 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | BFC Dynamo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for BFC Dynamo.
- Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo played?
- Lokomotive Leipzig vs BFC Dynamo is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026FSV ZwickauvsAltglienicke
- Sep 16, 2026Hallescher FCvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Sep 16, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Sep 16, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Sep 16, 2026LuckenwaldevsBFC Preussen
- Sep 16, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Sep 16, 2026RSV EintrachtvsGreifswalder FC
- Sep 16, 2026Magdeburg IIvsErzgebirge Aue