Where and when is Magdeburg II vs Erzgebirge Aue played?

Magdeburg II vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Magdeburg II vs Erzgebirge Aue: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 9Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, Magdeburg

Magdeburg II

Erzgebirge Aue

The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Magdeburg II vs Erzgebirge Aue?

A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Magdeburg II (1,927) and Erzgebirge Aue (1,840).

Magdeburg II win51 %

Draw24 %

Erzgebirge Aue win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magdeburg II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Erzgebirge Aue have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Magdeburg II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	BSG Chemie Leipzig(home)	1-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	1-4	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026	SV Babelsberg 03(home)	3-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Luckenwalde(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(away)	3-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

Erzgebirge Aue
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(home)	0-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	BFC Preussen(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026	BFC Dynamo(home)	3-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(away)	2-0	Regionalliga - Nordost

How many goals should we expect?

Magdeburg II score 2.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Erzgebirge Aue score 2.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Magdeburg II	2.3	2.0	2	12/15	11/15
Erzgebirge Aue	2.5	1.8	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Magdeburg II sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Magdeburg II	6	3	1	2	13	10	10
5	Erzgebirge Aue	5	3	1	1	11	9	10

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Magdeburg II vs Erzgebirge Aue?: The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Erzgebirge Aue.
Where and when is Magdeburg II vs Erzgebirge Aue played?: Magdeburg II vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.