Hollandia vs Purmersteijn: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Juliana Sportpark, Hoorn
The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hollandia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Purmersteijn wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hollandia vs Purmersteijn?
Purmersteijn starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,668).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hollandia vs Purmersteijn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hollandia
4-3-3- 18J. Koeman
- 14N. Koster
- 13F. Vrenegoor
- 30Bart Spil
- 11D. Jansen
- MM. Vissie
- 2R. Fecunda
- 5M. Manshanden
- 4D. Inyamah
- 23N. Maijenburg
- 21H. Veltman
Purmersteijn
4-3-3- 19N. Kwakman
- 24O. Nait Aicha
- 7D. Plasmeijer
- 21M. Eliasar
- 16S. den Dunnen
- 8V. Schep
- 6H. Oomens
- 2T. Polman
- 4D. Inyamah
- 5A. van Leeuwen
- 1D. Bakker
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 11:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hollandia have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Purmersteijn have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | SVZW(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Staphorst(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Hollandia(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | TEC(away) | 2-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ACV(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Hollandia wins, 0 draws, 1 Purmersteijn win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Purmersteijn 4-1 Hollandia | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Purmersteijn vs Hollandia on Nov 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hollandia score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Purmersteijn score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollandia | 1.7 | 2.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Purmersteijn | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hollandia sit 16th in Derde Divisie (8 points from 12 matches) and Purmersteijn sit 8th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Hollandia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 33 | 8 |
A question about Hollandia vs Purmersteijn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hollandia vs Purmersteijn?
- The Footlab AI model makes Purmersteijn the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hollandia.
- Where and when is Hollandia vs Purmersteijn played?
- Hollandia vs Purmersteijn is played on April 11, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Juliana Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.