Bala Town vs Caersws: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 16Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Maes Tegid, Bala, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Caersws. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bala Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Town vs Caersws?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Bala Town (1,752) and Caersws (1,681).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Town vs Caersws
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Town
Not enough data to predict the Bala Town lineup.
Caersws
Not enough data to predict the Caersws lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Town have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Caersws have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Bala Town wins, 1 draw, 0 Caersws wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caersws 3-3 Bala Town | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Town score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caersws score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Town | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Caersws | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Town sit 5th in FAW Championship (19 points from 11 matches) and Caersws sit 6th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
A question about Bala Town vs Caersws?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Town vs Caersws?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Caersws.
- Where and when is Bala Town vs Caersws played?
- Bala Town vs Caersws is played on November 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Maes Tegid, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.