Newtown AFC vs Holyhead Hotspur: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Holyhead Hotspur. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Holyhead Hotspur?
Newtown AFC starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,708 vs 1,564).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newtown AFC vs Holyhead Hotspur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newtown AFC
Not enough data to predict the Newtown AFC lineup.
Holyhead Hotspur
Not enough data to predict the Holyhead Hotspur lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Holyhead Hotspur have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 7-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Newtown AFC wins, 0 draws, 1 Holyhead Hotspur win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur 0-1 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur 2-0 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Newtown AFC 1-0 Holyhead Hotspur | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Holyhead Hotspur vs Newtown AFC on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 2.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Holyhead Hotspur score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 2.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newtown AFC sit 2nd in FAW Championship (30 points from 13 matches) and Holyhead Hotspur sit 10th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 10 | Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 15 |
A question about Newtown AFC vs Holyhead Hotspur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newtown AFC vs Holyhead Hotspur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Holyhead Hotspur.
- Where and when is Newtown AFC vs Holyhead Hotspur played?
- Newtown AFC vs Holyhead Hotspur is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at G.F. Grigg Latham Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.