Homeboyz vs Mathare United: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bukhungu Stadium, Kakamega
The Footlab AI model makes Homeboyz the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Mathare United. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Homeboyz vs Mathare United?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Homeboyz (1,546) and Mathare United (1,459).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Homeboyz vs Mathare United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Homeboyz
Not enough data to predict the Homeboyz lineup.
Mathare United
Not enough data to predict the Mathare United lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Homeboyz have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mathare United have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Mara Sugar(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Homeboyz wins, 1 draw, 1 Mathare United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Homeboyz 3-0 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Mathare United 2-0 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Mathare United 0-1 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Homeboyz 0-0 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Homeboyz 1-0 Mathare United | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Mathare United 1-5 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Homeboyz vs Mathare United on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Homeboyz score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mathare United score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homeboyz | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Mathare United | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Homeboyz sit 3rd in FKF Premier League (3 points from 1 match) and Mathare United sit 11th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Homeboyz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Mathare United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Homeboyz vs Mathare United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Homeboyz vs Mathare United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Homeboyz the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Mathare United.
- Where and when is Homeboyz vs Mathare United played?
- Homeboyz vs Mathare United is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bukhungu Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.