Honduras U17 vs Japan U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 3Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Morazán, San Pedro Sula
The Footlab model makes Japan U17 the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Honduras U17. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Honduras U17 vs Japan U17?
Japan U17 starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Honduras U17 have 7 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Japan U17 have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | Indonesia U17(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Zambia U17(away) | 2-5 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Brazil U17(away) | 0-7 | World Cup - U17 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Puerto Rico U17(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - U17 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Bonaire U17(away) | 8-0 | World Cup - U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | China PR U17(away) | 3-2 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 19, 2026 | Uzbekistan U17(home) | 1-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 15, 2026 | Tajikistan U17(home) | 5-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 12, 2026 | Indonesia U17(home) | 3-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 9, 2026 | China PR U17(away) | 2-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Honduras U17 score 3.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 11; Japan U17 score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honduras U17 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/11 | 9/11 |
| Japan U17 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Honduras U17 vs Japan U17?
- The Footlab model makes Japan U17 the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Honduras U17.
- Where and when is Honduras U17 vs Japan U17 played?
- Honduras U17 vs Japan U17 is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Morazán, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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