Match

Honduras U17 vs Japan U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 3Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Morazán, San Pedro Sula

Honduras U17Japan U17

The Footlab model makes Japan U17 the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Honduras U17. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Honduras U17 vs Japan U17?

Japan U17 starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,547).

Honduras U17 win31 %
Draw22 %
Japan U17 win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Honduras U17 have 7 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Japan U17 have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Honduras U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 10, 2025Indonesia U17(home)1-2World Cup - U17
Nov 7, 2025Zambia U17(away)2-5World Cup - U17
Nov 4, 2025Brazil U17(away)0-7World Cup - U17
Feb 16, 2025Puerto Rico U17(home)1-0World Cup - U17
Feb 13, 2025Bonaire U17(away)8-0World Cup - U17
Japan U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026China PR U17(away)3-2AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 19, 2026Uzbekistan U17(home)1-1AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 15, 2026Tajikistan U17(home)5-0AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 12, 2026Indonesia U17(home)3-1AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 9, 2026China PR U17(away)2-1AFC U17 Asian Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Honduras U17 score 3.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 11; Japan U17 score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Honduras U173.01.746/119/11
Japan U172.11.1310/1511/15

Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Honduras U17 vs Japan U17?
The Footlab model makes Japan U17 the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Honduras U17.
Where and when is Honduras U17 vs Japan U17 played?
Honduras U17 vs Japan U17 is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Morazán, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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