Match

Hoogeveen vs Dovo: prediction and stats

Derde DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Bentinckspark (vv Hoogeveen), Hoogeveen

HoogeveenDovo

The Footlab model makes Dovo the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hoogeveen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoogeveen vs Dovo?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Hoogeveen (1,710) and Dovo (1,790).

Hoogeveen win34 %
Draw24 %
Dovo win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoogeveen have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Dovo have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoogeveen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026VV Scherpenzeel(away)1-2Derde Divisie
Aug 15, 2026SVZW(home)4-3Derde Divisie
May 23, 2026SC Genemuiden(home)2-1Derde Divisie
May 16, 2026Huizen(away)0-1Derde Divisie
May 9, 2026Eemdijk(home)1-0Derde Divisie
Dovo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SVZW(away)1-1Derde Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Staphorst(home)2-2Derde Divisie
Aug 1, 2026Eemdijk(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026ADO '20(home)1-0Derde Divisie
May 16, 2026SC Genemuiden(away)6-2Derde Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Hoogeveen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dovo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Dovo 1-2 HoogeveenDerde Divisie
Oct 25, 2025Hoogeveen 2-1 DovoDerde Divisie
Apr 6, 2024Hoogeveen 0-2 DovoDerde Divisie
Nov 4, 2023Dovo 3-1 HoogeveenDerde Divisie
Aug 29, 2020Hoogeveen 2-2 DovoKNVB Beker

Last archived meeting: Dovo vs Hoogeveen on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoogeveen score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dovo score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hoogeveen1.52.039/1511/15
Dovo1.71.3410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoogeveen sit 7th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Dovo sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Hoogeveen2101553
12Dovo2020332

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoogeveen vs Dovo?
The Footlab model makes Dovo the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Hoogeveen.
Where and when is Hoogeveen vs Dovo played?
Hoogeveen vs Dovo is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Bentinckspark (vv Hoogeveen), in the Derde Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hoogeveen and Dovo

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