Mandel United vs Knokke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Skyline Arena, Izegem
The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Knokke. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mandel United vs Knokke?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Mandel United (1,967) and Knokke (1,950).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mandel United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Knokke have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | VW Hamme(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | HO Kalken(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Mechelen II(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | FC Lebbeke(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zelzate(away) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mandel United win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Knokke win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Knokke 1-0 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Mandel United 0-1 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Mandel United 0-4 Knokke | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Knokke 5-2 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Mandel United 0-4 Knokke | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Knokke 2-1 Mandel United | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
Last archived meeting: Knokke vs Mandel United on Jan 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Mandel United score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Knokke score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandel United | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Knokke | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knokke | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mandel United vs Knokke?
- The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Knokke.
- Where and when is Mandel United vs Knokke played?
- Mandel United vs Knokke is played on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Skyline Arena, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.