Where and when is Horsham vs Chelmsford City played?

Horsham vs Chelmsford City is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Horsham vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex

Horsham

Chelmsford City

The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horsham vs Chelmsford City?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Horsham (1,821) and Chelmsford City (1,842).

Horsham win37 %

Draw26 %

Chelmsford City win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horsham
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Hampton & Richmond(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Salisbury(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Torquay(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Chelmsford City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-1	National League - South
Apr 25, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	1-3	National League - South
Apr 18, 2026	Chesham United(away)	2-0	National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Horsham win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chelmsford City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	Horsham 2-3 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Aug 9, 2025	Chelmsford City 1-0 Horsham	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Chelmsford City on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Horsham	1.2	1.2	5	5/15	7/15
Chelmsford City	1.5	1.4	5	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Horsham	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
17	Chelmsford City	3	0	3	0	2	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Chelmsford City?: The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chelmsford City.
Where and when is Horsham vs Chelmsford City played?: Horsham vs Chelmsford City is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.