Match

Horsham vs Chesham United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex

HorshamChesham United

The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horsham vs Chesham United?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Horsham (1,816) and Chesham United (1,788).

Horsham win47 %
Draw26 %
Chesham United win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Farnborough(away)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Braintree(away)2-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)0-3National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Horsham win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chesham United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 20, 2025Horsham 1-2 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Aug 19, 2025Chesham United 0-0 HorshamNational League - South
Oct 22, 2011Chesham United 5-0 HorshamFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Chesham United on Dec 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Horsham1.21.255/157/15
Chesham United1.81.839/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528
18Chesham United4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Chesham United?
The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chesham United.
Where and when is Horsham vs Chesham United played?
Horsham vs Chesham United is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Horsham and Chesham United

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