Match

Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 40Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex

HorshamEbbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Horsham (1,821) and Ebbsfleet United (1,817).

Horsham win41 %
Draw26 %
Ebbsfleet United win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Horsham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Braintree(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Salisbury(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Worthing(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Horsham win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 24, 2026Horsham 1-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Nov 25, 2025Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HorshamNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Horsham1.21.255/157/15
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Horsham4220528

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United?
The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Ebbsfleet United.
Where and when is Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United played?
Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Horsham and Ebbsfleet United

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