Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 40Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ebbsfleet United wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Horsham (1,852) and Ebbsfleet United (1,922).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Horsham
Not enough data to predict the Horsham lineup.
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 1-4 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Horsham win, 1 draw, 0 Ebbsfleet United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Horsham 1-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Horsham | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Horsham score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horsham | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Horsham sit 17th in National League - South (11 points from 10 matches) and Ebbsfleet United sit 6th (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 17 | Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Horsham.
- Where and when is Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Horsham vs Ebbsfleet United is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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