Match

Hortaleza vs Sevilla: prediction and stats

Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)

HortalezaSevilla

The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Hortaleza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sevilla wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,665 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hortaleza vs Sevilla?

Sevilla is a heavy favourite: 2,079 Elo points against 1,765, a 314-point gap.

18%22%60%
Hortaleza winDrawSevilla win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hortaleza vs Sevilla

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hortaleza

Not enough data to predict the Hortaleza lineup.

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
  1. 16Isaac
  1. 6L. Agoumé
  2. 24Y. Fofana
  3. 20Félix Correia
  4. 21C. Ejuke
  5. 10Peque Fernández
  1. 5Andrés Castrín
  2. 17G. Suazo
  3. 2Juan Iglesias
  4. 4Kike Salas
  1. 1O. Vlachodimos

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 12:25 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Hortaleza have 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats; Sevilla have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hortaleza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Güímar(away)3-3Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2026Güímar(home)1-0Copa del Rey
Sevilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Osasuna(home)2-0La Liga
Oct 18, 2026Real Madrid(away)1-4La Liga
Oct 12, 2026Levante(away)3-3La Liga
Oct 2, 2026Aston Villa(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Barcelona(home)1-3La Liga

How many goals should we expect?

Hortaleza score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 2; Sevilla score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hortaleza2.01.511/21/2
Sevilla1.51.5411/1510/15

Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.

A question about Hortaleza vs Sevilla?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Hortaleza.
Where and when is Hortaleza vs Sevilla played?
Hortaleza vs Sevilla is played on October 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Copa del Rey.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hortaleza and Sevilla

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