Houtvenne vs Heist: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 17Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Oosterzonen, Westerlo
The Footlab model makes Heist the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Houtvenne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Houtvenne vs Heist?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Houtvenne (1,817) and Heist (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Houtvenne have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Heist have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 3-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bocholt(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Berchem Sport(away) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
How many goals should we expect?
Houtvenne score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Heist score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houtvenne | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Heist | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Houtvenne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Houtvenne vs Heist?
- The Footlab model makes Heist the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Houtvenne.
- Where and when is Houtvenne vs Heist played?
- Houtvenne vs Heist is played on January 9, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Oosterzonen, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.