Merelbeke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenkouter, Merelbeke
The Footlab AI model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spouwen-Mopertingen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Merelbeke (1,861) and Spouwen-Mopertingen (1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merelbeke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Not enough data to predict the Spouwen-Mopertingen lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merelbeke have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Spouwen-Mopertingen have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dessel Sport(away) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mandel United(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Heist(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Merelbeke win, 2 draws, 2 Spouwen-Mopertingen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 1-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 1-4 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Merelbeke 0-1 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Merelbeke 0-0 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 1-1 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Merelbeke on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merelbeke score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Spouwen-Mopertingen score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelbeke | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | 2.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merelbeke sit 14th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Spouwen-Mopertingen sit 1st (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 25 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Merelbeke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merelbeke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Merelbeke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen played?
- Merelbeke vs Spouwen-Mopertingen is played on January 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenkouter, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.