Tienen vs Harelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bergéstadion, Tirlemont
The Footlab AI model makes Tienen the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Harelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tienen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tienen vs Harelbeke?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Tienen (1,885) and Harelbeke (1,862).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tienen vs Harelbeke
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tienen
Not enough data to predict the Tienen lineup.
Harelbeke
4-3-3- 18J. Kasmi
- 30G. Kyeremeh
- 8P. Stiers
- 6O. Van Mol
- 10Z. Yagan
- 12L. Dewaele
- 4P. De Smet
- 23N. Vandenbroucke
- 5W. Coopman
- 3K. Van Damme
- 38A. Galens
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 10:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tienen have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Harelbeke have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Heist(away) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Merelbeke(home) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II(away) | 1-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Thes Sport(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dessel Sport(away) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 3-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Tienen win, 0 draws, 0 Harelbeke wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Harelbeke 0-4 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Tienen score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Harelbeke score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tienen | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Harelbeke | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
A question about Tienen vs Harelbeke?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tienen vs Harelbeke?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tienen the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Harelbeke.
- Where and when is Tienen vs Harelbeke played?
- Tienen vs Harelbeke is played on January 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bergéstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.