Hrvace vs Jadran LP: prediction and stats
First NLRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Hrvace
The Footlab model makes Jadran LP the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Hrvace. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hrvace vs Jadran LP?
Jadran LP starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hrvace have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Jadran LP have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Croatia Zmijavci(away) | 0-3 | First NL |
| May 30, 2026 | Dubrava Zagreb(home) | 1-2 | First NL |
| May 24, 2026 | Croatia Zmijavci(away) | 0-3 | First NL |
| May 16, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(away) | 0-1 | First NL |
| May 10, 2026 | Opatija(home) | 0-2 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Opatija(home) | 2-2 | First NL |
| May 30, 2026 | Križevci(home) | 1-0 | Second NL |
| May 23, 2026 | Dakovo-Croatia(away) | 6-0 | Second NL |
| May 16, 2026 | Lucko(away) | 3-2 | Second NL |
| May 9, 2026 | Varteks Varaždin(home) | 2-1 | Second NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hrvace win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Jadran LP win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2025 | Jadran LP 0-6 Hrvace | Second NL |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Hrvace 3-1 Jadran LP | Second NL |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Hrvace 2-0 Jadran LP | Second NL |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Jadran LP 3-2 Hrvace | Second NL |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Hrvace 1-1 Jadran LP | Second NL |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Jadran LP 1-0 Hrvace | Second NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Hrvace score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jadran LP score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hrvace | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Jadran LP | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hrvace sit 16th in First NL (0 points from 1 matches) and Jadran LP sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jadran LP | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Hrvace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hrvace vs Jadran LP?
- The Footlab model makes Jadran LP the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Hrvace.
- Where and when is Hrvace vs Jadran LP played?
- Hrvace vs Jadran LP is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.