Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci: prediction and stats
First NLRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić, Zagreb
The Footlab model makes Dubrava Zagreb the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Croatia Zmijavci. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Dubrava Zagreb (1,684) and Croatia Zmijavci (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dubrava Zagreb have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Croatia Zmijavci have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HNK Cibalia(away) | 1-2 | First NL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Segesta Sisak(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mladost Ždralovi(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Hrvace(away) | 2-1 | First NL |
| May 23, 2026 | Opatija(home) | 3-2 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hrvace(home) | 3-0 | First NL |
| May 30, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(away) | 1-0 | First NL |
| May 24, 2026 | Hrvace(home) | 3-0 | First NL |
| May 15, 2026 | Opatija(away) | 1-3 | First NL |
| May 10, 2026 | Jarun(home) | 1-2 | First NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dubrava Zagreb win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Croatia Zmijavci win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 Croatia Zmijavci | First NL |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Croatia Zmijavci 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb | First NL |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Dubrava Zagreb 0-3 Croatia Zmijavci | First NL |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci | First NL |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Croatia Zmijavci 3-1 Dubrava Zagreb | First NL |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Dubrava Zagreb 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci | First NL |
Last archived meeting: Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dubrava Zagreb score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia Zmijavci score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubrava Zagreb | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Croatia Zmijavci | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dubrava Zagreb sit 12th in First NL (0 points from 1 matches) and Croatia Zmijavci sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Croatia Zmijavci | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Dubrava Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci?
- The Footlab model makes Dubrava Zagreb the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Croatia Zmijavci.
- Where and when is Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci played?
- Dubrava Zagreb vs Croatia Zmijavci is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.