Sesvete vs Dugopolje: prediction and stats
First NLRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sv. Josip Radnik, Sesvete
The Footlab model makes Sesvete the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Dugopolje. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Sesvete (1,760) and Dugopolje (1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sesvete have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Dugopolje have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlovac 1919(home) | 3-0 | First NL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 29, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 1-3 | First NL |
| May 22, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(home) | 2-1 | First NL |
| May 16, 2026 | Dugopolje(home) | 1-2 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kustosija(home) | 1-1 | First NL |
| May 30, 2026 | Orijent 1919(away) | 0-3 | First NL |
| May 23, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 0-3 | First NL |
| May 16, 2026 | Sesvete(away) | 2-1 | First NL |
| May 9, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(home) | 1-2 | First NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sesvete win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dugopolje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Sesvete 1-2 Dugopolje | First NL |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sesvete 3-0 Dugopolje | First NL |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Dugopolje 1-1 Sesvete | First NL |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Sesvete 1-0 Dugopolje | First NL |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Sesvete 3-1 Dugopolje | First NL |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Dugopolje 0-0 Sesvete | First NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Sesvete score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dugopolje score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sesvete | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Dugopolje | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sesvete sit 1st in First NL (3 points from 1 matches) and Dugopolje sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sesvete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Dugopolje | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
- The Footlab model makes Sesvete the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Dugopolje.
- Where and when is Sesvete vs Dugopolje played?
- Sesvete vs Dugopolje is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sv. Josip Radnik, in the First NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.