Hull City vs Everton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab AI model makes Everton the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Everton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Everton?
Everton starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,214 vs 2,033).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hull City vs Everton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 10M. Belloumi
- 25M. Crooks
- 21E. Stroud
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 3R. Giles
- 15J. Egan
- 32N. Mendy
- 19K. Tzolakis
Everton
4-2-3-1- 11T. Barry
- 8K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 37J. Garner
- 45H. Armstrong
- 22B. Johnson
- 10J. Grealish
- 16V. Mykolenko
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 4J. Branthwaite
- 2A. Maitland-Niles
- 1J. Pickford
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Everton have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hull City win, 2 draws, 3 Everton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | Hull City 2-3 Everton | FA Cup |
| Mar 18, 2017 | Everton 4-0 Hull City | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2016 | Hull City 2-2 Everton | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2015 | Hull City 2-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2014 | Everton 1-1 Hull City | Premier League |
| May 11, 2014 | Hull City 0-2 Everton | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Everton score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Everton | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hull City sit 8th in Premier League (8 points from 5 matches) and Everton sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
A question about Hull City vs Everton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Everton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Everton the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Everton played?
- Hull City vs Everton is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.