Hull City vs Everton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab model makes Everton the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Everton?
Everton starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (2,092 vs 1,908).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Everton have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nice(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lille(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hamburger SV(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hull City win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Everton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | Hull City 2-3 Everton | FA Cup |
| Mar 18, 2017 | Everton 4-0 Hull City | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2016 | Hull City 2-2 Everton | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2015 | Hull City 2-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2014 | Everton 1-1 Hull City | Premier League |
| May 11, 2014 | Hull City 0-2 Everton | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Everton score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Everton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hull City sit 4th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Everton sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Hull City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Everton?
- The Footlab model makes Everton the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Everton played?
- Hull City vs Everton is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.