Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London
The Footlab model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Nottingham Forest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Crystal Palace (2,107) and Nottingham Forest (2,149).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Everton(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al Ula(home) | 3-1 | Como Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 0-0 | Como Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Crystal Palace win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Nottingham Forest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| May 5, 2025 | Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 1-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Crystal Palace 0-0 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crystal Palace score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crystal Palace sit 17th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Nottingham Forest sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
- The Footlab model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Nottingham Forest.
- Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest played?
- Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.