IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik: prediction and stats
ÚrvalsdeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Norðurálsvöllurinn, Akranes
The Footlab model makes KR Reykjavik the favourite at 47%, against 20% for a draw and 32% for IA Akranes. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik?
KR Reykjavik starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,870 vs 1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IA Akranes have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; KR Reykjavik have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(home) | 1-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar(away) | 3-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Thor Akureyri(home) | 2-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(home) | 2-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Stjarnan(home) | 5-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KA Akureyri(away) | 5-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Breidablik(home) | 3-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Fram Reykjavik(away) | 5-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(away) | 1-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Stjarnan(home) | 5-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 IA Akranes win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 KR Reykjavik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2026 | KR Reykjavik 5-3 IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild |
| Sep 27, 2025 | IA Akranes 3-2 KR Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 14, 2025 | IA Akranes 1-0 KR Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Apr 27, 2025 | KR Reykjavik 5-0 IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild |
| Sep 1, 2024 | KR Reykjavik 4-2 IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jun 18, 2024 | IA Akranes 2-1 KR Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
Last archived meeting: KR Reykjavik vs IA Akranes on Jun 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IA Akranes score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; KR Reykjavik score 3.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IA Akranes | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| KR Reykjavik | 3.2 | 2.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IA Akranes sit 6th in Úrvalsdeild (12 points from 9 matches) and KR Reykjavik sit 2nd (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 23 | 25 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 64 | 39 | 39 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 67 | 42 | 40 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 37 | 25 |
| 6 | IA Akranes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 6 | IA Akranes | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik?
- The Footlab model makes KR Reykjavik the favourite at 47%, against 20% for a draw and 32% for IA Akranes.
- Where and when is IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik played?
- IA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Norðurálsvöllurinn, in the Úrvalsdeild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.