Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur: prediction and stats
ÚrvalsdeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)VÍS völlurinn, Akureyri
The Footlab model makes Thor Akureyri the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FH hafnarfjordur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Thor Akureyri (1,638) and FH hafnarfjordur (1,683).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thor Akureyri have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; FH hafnarfjordur have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stjarnan(away) | 2-4 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Keflavik(home) | 0-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IA Akranes(away) | 0-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Breidablik(home) | 1-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 27, 2026 | KA Akureyri(away) | 0-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IA Akranes(away) | 1-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(home) | 2-4 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KA Akureyri(away) | 1-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 5, 2026 | KR Reykjavik(home) | 1-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fram Reykjavik(away) | 0-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Thor Akureyri win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FH hafnarfjordur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur 1-1 Thor Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Thor Akureyri 2-4 FH hafnarfjordur | Cup |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Thor Akureyri 2-2 FH hafnarfjordur | League Cup |
| Mar 6, 2021 | FH hafnarfjordur 4-0 Thor Akureyri | League Cup |
| Jul 30, 2020 | FH hafnarfjordur 3-1 Thor Akureyri | Cup |
Last archived meeting: FH hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thor Akureyri score 1.0 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; FH hafnarfjordur score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thor Akureyri | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FH hafnarfjordur | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thor Akureyri sit 10th in Úrvalsdeild (6 points from 9 matches) and FH hafnarfjordur sit 12th (2 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FH hafnarfjordur | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 18 |
| 10 | FH hafnarfjordur | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 17 |
| 10 | Thor Akureyri | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 6 |
| 12 | FH hafnarfjordur | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 2 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 15 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 50 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur?
- The Footlab model makes Thor Akureyri the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FH hafnarfjordur.
- Where and when is Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur played?
- Thor Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at VÍS völlurinn, in the Úrvalsdeild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.