KA Akureyri vs Breidablik: prediction and stats
ÚrvalsdeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
The Footlab model makes Breidablik the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for KA Akureyri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KA Akureyri vs Breidablik?
Breidablik starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KA Akureyri have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Breidablik have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KR Reykjavik(home) | 3-5 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 4-4 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(home) | 0-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Keflavik(away) | 0-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Thor Akureyri(home) | 0-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | KR Reykjavik(away) | 3-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(home) | 1-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Thor Akureyri(away) | 0-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 27, 2026 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar(home) | 1-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 20, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(away) | 0-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 KA Akureyri win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Breidablik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Breidablik 3-1 KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Breidablik 1-1 KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild |
| May 11, 2025 | KA Akureyri 0-1 Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Breidablik 3-1 KA Akureyri | Super Cup |
| Feb 15, 2025 | KA Akureyri 0-5 Breidablik | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | KA Akureyri 2-3 Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild |
Last archived meeting: Breidablik vs KA Akureyri on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KA Akureyri score 1.7 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Breidablik score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KA Akureyri | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Breidablik | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KA Akureyri sit 8th in Úrvalsdeild (10 points from 9 matches) and Breidablik sit 4th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Breidablik | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 15 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 30 | 29 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 33 | 30 |
| 8 | KA Akureyri | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 10 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 36 | 15 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KA Akureyri vs Breidablik?
- The Footlab model makes Breidablik the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for KA Akureyri.
- Where and when is KA Akureyri vs Breidablik played?
- KA Akureyri vs Breidablik is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Akureyrarvöllur, in the Úrvalsdeild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.