Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik: prediction and stats
ÚrvalsdeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Víkingsvöllur, Reykjavík
The Footlab model makes Vikingur Reykjavik the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Fram Reykjavik. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
Vikingur Reykjavik starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vikingur Reykjavik have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fram Reykjavik have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(away) | 4-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar(home) | 2-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Thun(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Stjarnan(home) | 3-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 10, 2026 | KR Reykjavik(home) | 2-5 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 1, 2026 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar(away) | 2-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(home) | 0-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 3-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Vikingur Reykjavik win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Fram Reykjavik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Fram Reykjavik 0-5 Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Fram Reykjavik 2-4 Vikingur Reykjavik | Cup |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik 1-1 Fram Reykjavik | Reykjavik Cup |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Vikingur Reykjavik 2-1 Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Fram Reykjavik 2-2 Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| May 5, 2025 | Vikingur Reykjavik 3-2 Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
Last archived meeting: Fram Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vikingur Reykjavik score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fram Reykjavik score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Fram Reykjavik | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vikingur Reykjavik sit 1st in Úrvalsdeild (28 points from 10 matches) and Fram Reykjavik sit 3rd (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 6 | 28 |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 45 |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 16 | 20 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 34 | 37 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 35 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
- The Footlab model makes Vikingur Reykjavik the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Fram Reykjavik.
- Where and when is Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik played?
- Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Víkingsvöllur, in the Úrvalsdeild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.