Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar: prediction and stats
ÚrvalsdeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Samsung völlurinn, Garðabær
The Footlab model makes Stjarnan the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for IBV Vestmannaeyjar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Stjarnan (1,746) and IBV Vestmannaeyjar (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stjarnan have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; IBV Vestmannaeyjar have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Thor Akureyri(home) | 4-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Fram Reykjavik(away) | 1-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Keflavik(home) | 1-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 3-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Keflavik(away) | 0-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IA Akranes(home) | 1-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 2-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fram Reykjavik(home) | 1-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Breidablik(away) | 0-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stjarnan win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2-1 Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 14, 2025 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Stjarnan 2-3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Stjarnan 3-2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar | League Cup |
| Aug 5, 2023 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0-2 Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild |
| May 13, 2023 | Stjarnan 4-0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild |
Last archived meeting: IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stjarnan score 1.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; IBV Vestmannaeyjar score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stjarnan | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stjarnan sit 9th in Úrvalsdeild (10 points from 10 matches) and IBV Vestmannaeyjar sit 11th (5 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stjarnan | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 48 | 24 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 43 | 21 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 17 |
| 9 | Stjarnan | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 10 |
| 10 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 42 | 17 |
| 11 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?
- The Footlab model makes Stjarnan the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
- Where and when is Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar played?
- Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Samsung völlurinn, in the Úrvalsdeild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.