Spain U17 vs Israel U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Spain U17 the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Israel U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spain U17 vs Israel U17?
Spain U17 starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain U17 have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Israel U17 have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Italy U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 31, 2026 | Croatia U17(home) | 2-3 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 28, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 25, 2026 | Estonia U17(away) | 4-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Ukraine U17(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Faroe Islands U17(away) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | England U17(home) | 3-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Estonia U17(home) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | France U17(home) | 0-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Azerbaijan U17(home) | 5-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Spain U17 score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Israel U17 score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain U17 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Israel U17 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spain U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Israel U17 sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 1 | Israel U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spain U17 vs Israel U17?
- The Footlab model makes Spain U17 the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Israel U17.
- Where and when is Spain U17 vs Israel U17 played?
- Spain U17 vs Israel U17 is played on October 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Iceland U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17