Iceland vs Belgium: result 1-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 14, 2020 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík
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What was the result of Iceland vs Belgium?
Belgium won 1-2 on October 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 9′R. LukakuBelgium
- 17′B. SævarssonIceland
- 38′R. LukakuBelgium (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iceland have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Belgium have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Denmark(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 8, 2020 | Romania(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Sep 8, 2020 | Belgium(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | England(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jan 20, 2020 | El Salvador(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | England(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 8, 2020 | Ivory Coast(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2020 | Iceland(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Denmark(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Cyprus(home) | 6-1 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Iceland win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Belgium win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2020 | Belgium 5-1 Iceland | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Belgium 2-0 Iceland | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Iceland 0-3 Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Iceland score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Belgium score 3.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Belgium | 3.4 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy