Italy vs Netherlands: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 14, 2020 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Netherlands?
Italy and Netherlands drew 1-1 on October 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 16′L. PellegriniItaly
- 25′D. van de BeekNetherlands
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Netherlands have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Poland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Moldova(home) | 6-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2020 | Netherlands(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2019 | Armenia(home) | 9-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Mexico(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2020 | Italy(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Poland(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Estonia(home) | 5-0 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Italy win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Netherlands win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2020 | Netherlands 0-1 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2018 | Italy 1-1 Netherlands | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2017 | Netherlands 1-2 Italy | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2008 | Netherlands 3-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 3.1 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Netherlands score 2.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 3.1 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Netherlands | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy