Italy vs Netherlands: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 14, 2020 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Netherlands?
Italy and Netherlands drew 1-1 on October 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 16′L. PellegriniItaly
- 25′D. van de BeekNetherlands
Official lineup for Italy vs Netherlands
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Italy
4-3-3- 7L. Pellegrini
- 17C. Immobile
- 14F. Chiesa
- 6M. Verratti
- 8Jorginho
- 18N. Barella
- 4L. Spinazzola
- 3G. Chiellini
- 19L. Bonucci
- 2D. D'Ambrosio
- 21G. Donnarumma
Netherlands
5-3-2- 19L. de Jong
- 10M. Depay
- 8G. Wijnaldum
- 21F. de Jong
- 20D. van de Beek
- 17D. Blind
- 5N. Aké
- 4V. van Dijk
- 6S. de Vrij
- 2H. Hateboer
- 1J. Cillessen
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Netherlands have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Poland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Moldova(home) | 6-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2020 | Netherlands(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2019 | Armenia(home) | 9-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Mexico(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2020 | Italy(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Poland(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Estonia(home) | 5-0 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Italy wins, 1 draw, 1 Netherlands win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2020 | Netherlands 0-1 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2018 | Italy 1-1 Netherlands | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2017 | Netherlands 1-2 Italy | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2008 | Netherlands 3-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 3.1 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Netherlands score 2.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 3.1 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Netherlands | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Netherlands sit 1st (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NetherlandsGroup B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 2 | ItalyGroup A | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Italy vs Netherlands?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy