Match

Ilkeston Town vs Workington: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire

Ilkeston TownWorkington

The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Workington wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Workington?

Workington starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,684).

26%24%50%
Ilkeston Town winDrawWorkington win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ilkeston Town vs Workington

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ilkeston Town

4-3-3
  1. OO. Brown-Hill
  2. ZZ. Goodson
  3. JJ. Watts
  1. JJack Thomas
  2. JJ. Reid
  3. BBilly Bennett
  1. JJ. Maguire
  2. KK. Fenton
  3. AA. Troke
  4. RRyan Wilson
  1. RR. Durrant

Workington

Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:06 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 1 win, 1 draw and 13 defeats; Workington have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ilkeston Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)1-3Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 10, 2026Redcar Athletic(home)0-5Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 6, 2026Guiseley AFC(home)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 3, 2026Lancaster City(away)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Sep 29, 2026Rylands(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Workington
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Whitby Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 10, 2026Quorn(away)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 6, 2026Warrington Town(away)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 3, 2026Cleethorpes Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Sep 29, 2026AFC Emley(away)3-1Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ilkeston Town wins, 0 draws, 4 Workington wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Workington 3-1 Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern
Feb 7, 2026Workington 1-0 Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern
Sep 27, 2025Ilkeston Town 3-2 WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern
Feb 8, 2025Ilkeston Town 1-0 WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern
Oct 12, 2024Workington 2-1 Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern
Dec 23, 2023Workington 4-1 Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Workington vs Ilkeston Town on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ilkeston Town score 0.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ilkeston Town0.62.708/1510/15
Workington2.11.9212/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ilkeston Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 14 matches) and Workington sit 9th (21 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Workington14635242421
22Ilkeston Town1421118347

A question about Ilkeston Town vs Workington?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Workington?
The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Ilkeston Town.
Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Workington played?
Ilkeston Town vs Workington is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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