Match

Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires

IndependienteDeportivo Riestra

The Footlab model makes Independiente the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Deportivo Riestra. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Independiente starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,805).

Independiente win51 %
Draw29 %
Deportivo Riestra win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Riestra have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Independiente
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Independ. Rivadavia(home)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 17, 2026Lanus(away)3-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 12, 2026Atletico Tucuman(away)0-4Copa Argentina
Aug 9, 2026Platense(home)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 3, 2026Velez Sarsfield(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Deportivo Riestra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Huracan(away)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 18, 2026Gimnasia L.P.(home)1-1Copa Argentina
Aug 15, 2026Newells Old Boys(away)0-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 8, 2026Estudiantes L.P.(home)2-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 2, 2026Barracas Central(home)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Independiente win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Riestra win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Deportivo Riestra 2-0 IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina
Nov 10, 2025Deportivo Riestra 0-1 IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina
Apr 28, 2025Independiente 0-0 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
Oct 6, 2024Independiente 3-1 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
Mar 15, 2024Deportivo Riestra 1-0 IndependienteCopa de la Liga Profesional

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Riestra vs Independiente on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Independiente score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Riestra score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Independiente1.31.156/156/15
Deportivo Riestra0.91.256/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Independiente sit 5th in Liga Profesional Argentina (24 points from 16 matches) and Deportivo Riestra sit 15th (11 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Independiente63126310
5Independiente16664242024
8Deportivo Riestra6213657
15Deportivo Riestra1618751211

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?
The Footlab model makes Independiente the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Deportivo Riestra.
Where and when is Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra played?
Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Libertadores de América, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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