Aldosivi vs River Plate: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model makes River Plate the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Aldosivi. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aldosivi vs River Plate?
River Plate starts as the favourite with a 237-point Elo edge (1,993 vs 1,756).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aldosivi vs River Plate
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aldosivi
4-4-1-1- 9N. Cordero
- 19L. Castro
- 10N. Gaitán
- 8M. García
- 11B. Palavecino
- 5N. Linares
- 13B. Cufré
- 32J. Pombo
- 25N. Breitenbruch
- 28S. Moya
- 23I. Chicco
River Plate
4-1-3-2- 10Á. Correa
- 9S. Driussi
- 50T. Andrada
- 26T. Galván
- 23T. Almada
- 15F. Vera
- 30N. Otamendi
- 28L. Martínez
- 29G. Montiel
- 21M. Acuña
- 41S. Beltrán
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aldosivi have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; River Plate have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(home) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huracan(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(away) | 3-4 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(away) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Huracan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aldosivi win, 0 draws, 5 River Plate wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | River Plate 1-3 Aldosivi | Copa Argentina |
| Apr 26, 2026 | River Plate 3-1 Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Aldosivi 0-3 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 27, 2021 | River Plate 2-0 Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| May 9, 2021 | River Plate 4-1 Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 2, 2019 | Aldosivi 1-2 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: River Plate vs Aldosivi on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aldosivi score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; River Plate score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| River Plate | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aldosivi sit 15th in Liga Profesional Argentina (8 points from 13 matches) and River Plate sit 5th (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
A question about Aldosivi vs River Plate?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aldosivi vs River Plate?
- The Footlab AI model makes River Plate the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Aldosivi.
- Where and when is Aldosivi vs River Plate played?
- Aldosivi vs River Plate is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José María Minella, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsBelgrano Cordoba
- Nov 8, 2026Rosario CentralvsEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- Nov 8, 2026Union Santa FevsVelez Sarsfield
- Nov 8, 2026BanfieldvsAtletico Tucuman
- Nov 8, 2026Boca JuniorsvsDefensa Y Justicia
- Nov 8, 2026TigrevsSarmiento Junin
- Nov 8, 2026IndependientevsDeportivo Riestra
- Nov 8, 2026Talleres CordobavsEstudiantes L.P.