Match

Aldosivi vs River Plate: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires

AldosiviRiver Plate

The Footlab model makes River Plate the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Aldosivi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aldosivi vs River Plate?

River Plate starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,743).

Aldosivi win26 %
Draw30 %
River Plate win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aldosivi have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; River Plate have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aldosivi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Union Santa Fe(home)1-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 15, 2026Tigre(home)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 7, 2026Rosario Central(away)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 2, 2026Gimnasia L.P.(home)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 29, 2026Barracas Central(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
River Plate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Velez Sarsfield(home)2-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 20, 2026Santa Fe(away)0-0CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 16, 2026Argentinos JRS(home)2-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 8, 2026Tigre(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 2, 2026Rosario Central(home)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aldosivi win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 River Plate win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026River Plate 1-3 AldosiviCopa Argentina
Apr 26, 2026River Plate 3-1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
Jul 24, 2022Aldosivi 0-3 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
Aug 27, 2021River Plate 2-0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
May 9, 2021River Plate 4-1 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
Nov 2, 2019Aldosivi 1-2 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: River Plate vs Aldosivi on Jul 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aldosivi score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; River Plate score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aldosivi0.71.338/155/15
River Plate1.11.056/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aldosivi sit 14th in Liga Profesional Argentina (8 points from 16 matches) and River Plate sit 2nd (29 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2River Plate16925221229
14River Plate5104243
14Aldosivi160886198
15Aldosivi6024492

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aldosivi vs River Plate?
The Footlab model makes River Plate the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Aldosivi.
Where and when is Aldosivi vs River Plate played?
Aldosivi vs River Plate is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José María Minella, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?