San Lorenzo vs Platense: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes San Lorenzo the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Platense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Platense?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate San Lorenzo (1,833) and Platense (1,813).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Lorenzo have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Platense have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Huracan(home) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barracas Central(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 San Lorenzo win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Platense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Platense 0-1 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Platense 2-1 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| May 25, 2025 | San Lorenzo 0-1 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 13, 2025 | San Lorenzo 2-1 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Platense 1-2 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Platense 0-0 San Lorenzo | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Platense vs San Lorenzo on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Lorenzo score 0.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Platense score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | 0.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Platense | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Lorenzo sit 7th in Liga Profesional Argentina (22 points from 16 matches) and Platense sit 12th (16 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 22 |
| 7 | Platense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Lorenzo vs Platense?
- The Footlab model makes San Lorenzo the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Platense.
- Where and when is San Lorenzo vs Platense played?
- San Lorenzo vs Platense is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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