Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 16Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba
The Footlab model makes Instituto Cordoba the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Newells Old Boys. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Instituto Cordoba (1,875) and Newells Old Boys (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Instituto Cordoba have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Newells Old Boys have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lanus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 2-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Instituto Cordoba win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Newells Old Boys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Newells Old Boys 1-1 Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jun 14, 2024 | Newells Old Boys 0-2 Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Instituto Cordoba 3-1 Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Newells Old Boys vs Instituto Cordoba on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Instituto Cordoba score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Newells Old Boys score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instituto Cordoba | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Newells Old Boys | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Instituto Cordoba sit 9th in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 16 matches) and Newells Old Boys sit 14th (15 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 21 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys?
- The Footlab model makes Instituto Cordoba the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Newells Old Boys.
- Where and when is Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys played?
- Instituto Cordoba vs Newells Old Boys is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsBelgrano Cordoba
- Nov 8, 2026Rosario CentralvsEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- Nov 8, 2026Union Santa FevsVelez Sarsfield
- Nov 8, 2026BanfieldvsAtletico Tucuman
- Nov 8, 2026Boca JuniorsvsDefensa Y Justicia
- Nov 8, 2026TigrevsSarmiento Junin
- Nov 8, 2026IndependientevsDeportivo Riestra
- Nov 8, 2026Talleres CordobavsEstudiantes L.P.