Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba
The Footlab model makes Instituto Cordoba the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for San Lorenzo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Instituto Cordoba (1,874) and San Lorenzo (1,833).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Instituto Cordoba have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; San Lorenzo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lanus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Huracan(home) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Instituto Cordoba win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 San Lorenzo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | San Lorenzo 1-1 Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 23, 2025 | San Lorenzo 1-0 Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Instituto Cordoba 0-1 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Instituto Cordoba 2-0 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| May 20, 2023 | San Lorenzo 2-0 Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: San Lorenzo vs Instituto Cordoba on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Instituto Cordoba score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Lorenzo score 0.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instituto Cordoba | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| San Lorenzo | 0.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Instituto Cordoba sit 9th in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 16 matches) and San Lorenzo sit 7th (22 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 22 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?
- The Footlab model makes Instituto Cordoba the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for San Lorenzo.
- Where and when is Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo played?
- Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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