Annan Athletic vs Ayr Utd: prediction and stats
Challenge CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Galabank, Annan
The Footlab AI model makes Ayr Utd the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Annan Athletic. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,674 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Annan Athletic vs Ayr Utd?
Ayr Utd starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (1,648 vs 1,390).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Annan Athletic vs Ayr Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Annan Athletic
4-3-3- 19C. Maxwell
- 9A. Smith
- 21D. Iserhienrhien
- 8P. Smith
- 7J. Dixon
- 15M. Niang
- 3C. Clark
- 6K. Watson
- 10T. Muir
- 20D. Carrick
- 1C. Albinson
Ayr Utd
3-4-3- 12Olly Whyte
- 7O. Stirton
- 21E. Walker
- 33S. McMann
- 6R. Lyon
- 32D. Watret
- 20L. McBeth
- 5K. Holt
- 3L. Dick
- 8L. King
- 1H. Stone
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Annan Athletic have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ayr Utd have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Clyde(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 0-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 1-6 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Partick(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Annan Athletic wins, 1 draw, 3 Ayr Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2025 | Annan Athletic 1-6 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
| Jul 19, 2022 | Annan Athletic 1-1 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
| Oct 13, 2020 | Ayr Utd 1-0 Annan Athletic | League Cup |
| Jul 29, 2017 | Annan Athletic 1-6 Ayr Utd | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Annan Athletic vs Ayr Utd on Jul 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Annan Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annan Athletic | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Annan Athletic vs Ayr Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Annan Athletic vs Ayr Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ayr Utd the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Annan Athletic.
- Where and when is Annan Athletic vs Ayr Utd played?
- Annan Athletic vs Ayr Utd is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Galabank, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.