Ipswich vs Liverpool: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Liverpool the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ipswich. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ipswich vs Liverpool?
Liverpool starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (2,190 vs 1,999).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ipswich have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Liverpool have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Como(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 2-4 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 1-0 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 4-2 | Premier League - Summer Series |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ipswich win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Liverpool win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Liverpool 4-1 Ipswich | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ipswich score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Liverpool | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Liverpool?
- The Footlab model makes Liverpool the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ipswich.
- Where and when is Ipswich vs Liverpool played?
- Ipswich vs Liverpool is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Portman Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.