Italy vs Austria: result 2-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipRound of 16Kick-off on June 26, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Wembley Stadium, London
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Austria?
Italy won 2-1 on June 26, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 95′F. ChiesaItaly
- 105′M. PessinaItaly
- 114′S. KalajdzicAustria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Austria have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2021 | Wales(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Switzerland(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 11, 2021 | Türkiye(away) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Czechia(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2021 | San Marino(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2021 | Ukraine(away) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2021 | Netherlands(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2021 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 3-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Slovakia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2021 | England(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 2.7 and concede 0.1 goals per match over their last 15; Austria score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 2.7 | 0.1 | 14 | 1/15 | 6/15 |
| Austria | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in Euro Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Austria sit 1st (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy