Croatia vs Spain: result 3-5 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipRound of 16Kick-off on June 28, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Parken, København
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What was the result of Croatia vs Spain?
Spain won 3-5 on June 28, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 20′PedriCroatia (o.g.)
- 38′Pablo SarabiaSpain
- 57′César AzpilicuetaSpain
- 77′Ferran TorresSpain
- 85′M. OršićCroatia
- 90′Mario PasalicCroatia
- 100′Álvaro MorataSpain
- 103′Mikel OyarzabalSpain
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Spain have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2021 | Scotland(home) | 3-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2021 | Czechia(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2021 | England(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Belgium(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 1, 2021 | Armenia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2021 | Slovakia(away) | 5-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Poland(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 14, 2021 | Sweden(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2021 | Lithuania(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Portugal(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Croatia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Spain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2018 | Croatia 3-2 Spain | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Spain 6-0 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Croatia 2-1 Spain | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2012 | Croatia 0-1 Spain | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spain score 1.9 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Spain | 1.9 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Croatia sit 3rd in Euro Championship (2 points from 3 matches) and Spain sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy