Italy vs Belgium: result 0-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 1Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Belgium?
Belgium won 0-2 on September 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 20′M. GodtsBelgium
- 69′D. LukebakioBelgium
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Italy win at 44%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Italy vs Belgium
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Italy
4-3-3- 21N. Cambiaghi
- 7F. Esposito
- 9M. Kean
- 8S. Tonali
- 4A. Romano
- 18N. Barella
- 5R. Calafiori
- 6D. Coppola
- 23G. Mancini
- 22G. Di Lorenzo
- 1G. Donnarumma
Belgium
4-2-3-1- 17C. De Ketelaere
- 10M. Godts
- 7K. De Bruyne
- 19Diego Moreira
- 23N. Raskin
- 8Y. Tielemans
- 5M. De Cuyper
- 4B. Mechele
- 15N. Ngoy
- 21T. Castagne
- 1S. Lammens
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Belgium have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Greece(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Luxembourg(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Northern Ireland(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Norway(home) | 1-4 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | Spain(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jul 7, 2026 | USA(away) | 4-1 | World Cup |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Senegal(home) | 3-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | New Zealand(away) | 5-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iran(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Italy wins, 1 draw, 0 Belgium wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | Belgium 0-1 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Italy 2-2 Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Italy 2-1 Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 2, 2021 | Belgium 1-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2016 | Belgium 0-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Belgium score 3.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 2.1 | 1.4 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Belgium | 3.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Belgium sit 3rd (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Italy vs Belgium?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy