Portugal vs Wales: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 1Kick-off on September 24, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Full time
What was the result of Portugal vs Wales?
Portugal won 1-0 on September 24, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 22′João FélixPortugal
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Portugal win at 80%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Portugal vs Wales
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Portugal
4-1-3-2- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 11João Félix
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 23Vitinha
- 18Pedro Neto
- 21Rúben Neves
- 19Nuno Mendes
- 13Renato Veiga
- 3Rúben Dias
- 20João Cancelo
- 1Diogo Costa
Wales
4-3-3- 11B. Johnson
- 9L. Koumas
- 7D. Brooks
- 17J. James
- 22J. Sheehan
- 5E. Ampadu
- 15J. Dasilva
- 4B. Davies
- 6B. Cabango
- 3N. Williams
- 12D. Ward
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Wales have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2026 | Spain(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Croatia(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Colombia(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Uzbekistan(home) | 5-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Congo DR(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Romania(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Ghana(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Northern Ireland(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 18, 2025 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 7-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Portugal win, 0 draws, 0 Wales wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2016 | Portugal 2-0 Wales | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Wales score 1.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 2.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Wales | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portugal sit 1st in UEFA Nations League (12 points from 4 matches) and Wales sit 3rd (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
A question about Portugal vs Wales?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy