Belgium vs Italy: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 5Kick-off on November 14, 2024 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
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What was the result of Belgium vs Italy?
Italy won 0-1 on November 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 11′S. TonaliItaly
Official lineup for Belgium vs Italy
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Belgium
5-3-2- 9L. Openda
- 10R. Lukaku
- 11L. Trossard
- 6A. Onana
- 8A. Engels
- 5M. De Cuyper
- 3A. Theate
- 2Z. Debast
- 4W. Faes
- 21T. Castagne
- 1K. Casteels
Italy
3-5-1-1- 9M. Retegui
- 18N. Barella
- 3F. Dimarco
- 8S. Tonali
- 14N. Rovella
- 16D. Frattesi
- 20A. Cambiaso
- 21A. Bastoni
- 4A. Buongiorno
- 22G. Di Lorenzo
- 1G. Donnarumma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belgium have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Italy have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | France(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Italy(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | France(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Israel(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 1, 2024 | France(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | Israel(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Belgium(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Israel(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2024 | France(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Switzerland(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Belgium wins, 1 draw, 3 Italy wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | Italy 2-2 Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Italy 2-1 Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 2, 2021 | Belgium 1-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2016 | Belgium 0-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Belgium score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Italy | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belgium sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (6 points from 4 matches) and Italy sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Belgium vs Italy?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy