Belgium vs Italy: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 5Kick-off on November 14, 2024 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
Full time
What was the result of Belgium vs Italy?
Italy won 0-1 on November 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 11′S. TonaliItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belgium have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Italy have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | France(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Italy(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | France(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Israel(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 1, 2024 | France(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | Israel(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Belgium(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Israel(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2024 | France(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Switzerland(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Belgium win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | Italy 2-2 Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Italy 2-1 Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 2, 2021 | Belgium 1-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2016 | Belgium 0-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Belgium score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Italy | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy