Italy vs England: result 1-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipFinalKick-off on July 11, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Wembley Stadium, London
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What was the result of Italy vs England?
Italy and England drew 1-1 on July 11, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 2′L. ShawEngland
- 67′L. BonucciItaly
- 120′D. BerardiItaly (pen.)
- 120′H. KaneEngland (pen.)
- 120′H. MaguireEngland (pen.)
- 120′L. BonucciItaly (pen.)
- 120′F. BernardeschiItaly (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; England have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2021 | Spain(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 2, 2021 | Belgium(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 26, 2021 | Austria(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Wales(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Switzerland(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2021 | Denmark(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 3, 2021 | Ukraine(away) | 4-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 29, 2021 | Germany(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 22, 2021 | Czechia(away) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2021 | Scotland(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Italy win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 England win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | England 1-1 Italy | Friendlies |
| Jun 14, 2014 | England 1-2 Italy | World Cup |
| Jun 24, 2012 | England 0-0 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 2.5 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; England score 1.9 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 2.5 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| England | 1.9 | 0.3 | 11 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Italy sit 2nd in Euro Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and England sit 1st (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy