Where and when is Iwaki vs Albirex Niigata played?

Iwaki vs Albirex Niigata is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Hawaiians Stadium Iwaki, in the J2 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Iwaki vs Albirex Niigata: prediction and stats

J2 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Hawaiians Stadium Iwaki, Iwaki

Iwaki

Albirex Niigata

The Footlab model makes Iwaki the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Albirex Niigata. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Iwaki vs Albirex Niigata?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Iwaki (1,779) and Albirex Niigata (1,786).

Iwaki win42 %

Draw31 %

Albirex Niigata win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iwaki have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Albirex Niigata have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Iwaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Oita Trinita(away)	1-4	J2 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(away)	1-3	J2 League
Aug 9, 2026	Imabari(home)	2-1	J2 League
Jun 7, 2026	Tokushima Vortis(away)	0-2	J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(away)	2-1	J2/J3 League

Albirex Niigata
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Fujieda MYFC(home)	1-0	J2 League
Aug 15, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(home)	2-1	J2 League
Aug 8, 2026	Omiya Ardija(away)	0-1	J2 League
Jul 25, 2026	Montedio Yamagata(home)	3-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(home)	0-0	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Iwaki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Albirex Niigata win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 17, 2024	Iwaki 0-2 Albirex Niigata	J-League Cup

Last archived meeting: Iwaki vs Albirex Niigata on Apr 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Iwaki score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Albirex Niigata score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Iwaki	1.1	1.6	2	10/15	8/15
Albirex Niigata	1.1	1.0	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Iwaki sit 3rd in J2 League (31 points from 18 matches) and Albirex Niigata sit 8th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Albirex Niigata	18	9	5	4	21	17	35
3	Iwaki	18	7	6	5	22	18	31
8	Albirex Niigata	3	2	0	1	3	2	6
15	Iwaki	3	1	0	2	4	8	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Iwaki vs Albirex Niigata?: The Footlab model makes Iwaki the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Albirex Niigata.
Where and when is Iwaki vs Albirex Niigata played?: Iwaki vs Albirex Niigata is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Hawaiians Stadium Iwaki, in the J2 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.