Where and when is Omiya Ardija vs Shonan Bellmare played?

Omiya Ardija vs Shonan Bellmare is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at NACK5 Stadium, in the J2 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Omiya Ardija vs Shonan Bellmare: prediction and stats

J2 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)NACK5 Stadium, Saitama

Omiya Ardija

Shonan Bellmare

The Footlab model makes Omiya Ardija the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Shonan Bellmare. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Shonan Bellmare?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Omiya Ardija (1,845) and Shonan Bellmare (1,840).

Omiya Ardija win43 %

Draw26 %

Shonan Bellmare win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omiya Ardija have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Shonan Bellmare have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Omiya Ardija
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	4-1	J2 League
Aug 15, 2026	Imabari(away)	3-2	J2 League
Aug 8, 2026	Albirex Niigata(home)	1-0	J2 League
Aug 1, 2026	Urawa(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Kochi United(home)	2-1	J2/J3 League

Shonan Bellmare
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tegevajaro Miyazaki(away)	0-0	J2 League
Aug 15, 2026	Montedio Yamagata(home)	1-0	J2 League
Aug 8, 2026	Oita Trinita(away)	1-0	J2 League
Jul 17, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(away)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Sagan Tosu(away)	0-1	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Omiya Ardija win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Shonan Bellmare win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 24, 2016	Omiya Ardija 4-2 Shonan Bellmare	Emperor Cup
Oct 22, 2016	Omiya Ardija 3-2 Shonan Bellmare	J1 League
Apr 24, 2016	Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Omiya Ardija	J1 League
Apr 6, 2016	Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Omiya Ardija	J-League Cup
Aug 20, 2014	Omiya Ardija 2-1 Shonan Bellmare	Emperor Cup
Dec 7, 2013	Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Omiya Ardija	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Omiya Ardija vs Shonan Bellmare on Dec 24, 2016

How many goals should we expect?

Omiya Ardija score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shonan Bellmare score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Omiya Ardija	1.9	1.7	2	13/15	12/15
Shonan Bellmare	0.9	1.1	5	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Omiya Ardija sit 4th in J2 League (30 points from 18 matches) and Shonan Bellmare sit 3rd (31 points from 18 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Omiya Ardija	3	3	0	0	8	3	9
2	Shonan Bellmare	3	2	1	0	2	0	7
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	8	4	6	25	19	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	9	2	7	38	28	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Omiya Ardija vs Shonan Bellmare?: The Footlab model makes Omiya Ardija the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Shonan Bellmare.
Where and when is Omiya Ardija vs Shonan Bellmare played?: Omiya Ardija vs Shonan Bellmare is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at NACK5 Stadium, in the J2 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.