Where and when is Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata played?

Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Imabari Satoyama Stadium, in the J2 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata: prediction and stats

J2 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Imabari Satoyama Stadium, Imabari

Imabari

Montedio Yamagata

The Footlab model makes Montedio Yamagata the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Imabari. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata?

Montedio Yamagata starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,678).

Imabari win27 %

Draw28 %

Montedio Yamagata win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Imabari have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Montedio Yamagata have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Imabari
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kataller Toyama(away)	0-4	J2 League
Aug 15, 2026	Omiya Ardija(home)	2-3	J2 League
Aug 9, 2026	Iwaki(away)	1-2	J2 League
Jul 22, 2026	Vissel Kobe(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Vanraure Hachinohe(away)	1-1	J2/J3 League

Montedio Yamagata
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Yokohama FC(home)	2-0	J2 League
Aug 15, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(away)	0-1	J2 League
Aug 9, 2026	Tochigi City(home)	2-0	J2 League
Jul 25, 2026	Albirex Niigata(away)	4-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Oita Trinita(away)	0-1	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Imabari win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Montedio Yamagata win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 9, 2025	Montedio Yamagata 2-1 Imabari	J2 League
Mar 30, 2025	Imabari 2-2 Montedio Yamagata	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Montedio Yamagata vs Imabari on Nov 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Imabari score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Montedio Yamagata score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Imabari	1.0	1.5	3	10/15	9/15
Montedio Yamagata	1.3	1.4	4	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Imabari sit 20th in J2 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Montedio Yamagata sit 7th (22 points from 18 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Montedio Yamagata	3	2	0	1	4	1	6
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	6	2	10	20	25	22
9	Imabari	18	5	4	9	14	18	20
20	Imabari	3	0	0	3	3	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata?: The Footlab model makes Montedio Yamagata the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Imabari.
Where and when is Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata played?: Imabari vs Montedio Yamagata is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Imabari Satoyama Stadium, in the J2 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.