Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: prediction and stats
J2 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai
The Footlab model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Vegalta Sendai. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Vegalta Sendai (1,880) and Tegevajaro Miyazaki (1,861).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vegalta Sendai have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tegevajaro Miyazaki have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(away) | 2-0 | J2 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oita Trinita(home) | 0-0 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(away) | 0-2 | J2 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kataller Toyama(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 0-0 | J2 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ventforet Kofu(away) | 1-1 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yokohama FC(home) | 0-1 | J2 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ventforet Kofu(home) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Vegalta Sendai score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tegevajaro Miyazaki score 1.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegalta Sendai | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vegalta Sendai sit 1st in J2 League (43 points from 18 matches) and Tegevajaro Miyazaki sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 15 | 43 |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 47 |
| 11 | Vegalta Sendai | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
- The Footlab model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Vegalta Sendai.
- Where and when is Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki played?
- Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yurtec Stadium Sendai, in the J2 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 29, 2026Tochigi CityvsJubilo Iwata
- Aug 29, 2026Vanraure HachinohevsBlaublitz Akita
- Aug 29, 2026Kataller ToyamavsFujieda MYFC
- Aug 29, 2026Tokushima VortisvsOita Trinita
- Aug 29, 2026ImabarivsMontedio Yamagata
- Aug 29, 2026Yokohama FCvsSagan Tosu
- Aug 29, 2026Ventforet KofuvsConsadole Sapporo