Match

Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: prediction and stats

J2 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai

Vegalta SendaiTegevajaro Miyazaki

The Footlab model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Vegalta Sendai. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Vegalta Sendai (1,880) and Tegevajaro Miyazaki (1,861).

Vegalta Sendai win30 %
Draw30 %
Tegevajaro Miyazaki win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vegalta Sendai have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tegevajaro Miyazaki have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vegalta Sendai
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Vanraure Hachinohe(away)2-0J2 League
Aug 15, 2026Oita Trinita(home)0-0J2 League
Aug 8, 2026Fujieda MYFC(away)0-2J2 League
Jul 15, 2026Kashima(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Kataller Toyama(home)1-1J2/J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)0-0J2 League
Aug 15, 2026Ventforet Kofu(away)1-1J2 League
Aug 8, 2026Yokohama FC(home)0-1J2 League
Jul 15, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Ventforet Kofu(home)2-1J2/J3 League

How many goals should we expect?

Vegalta Sendai score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tegevajaro Miyazaki score 1.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vegalta Sendai1.51.175/157/15
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1.40.676/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vegalta Sendai sit 1st in J2 League (43 points from 18 matches) and Tegevajaro Miyazaki sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Vegalta Sendai181152321543
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki181521351147
11Vegalta Sendai3111224
17Tegevajaro Miyazaki3021122

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
The Footlab model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Vegalta Sendai.
Where and when is Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki played?
Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yurtec Stadium Sendai, in the J2 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vegalta Sendai and Tegevajaro Miyazaki

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