Where and when is Tochigi City vs Jubilo Iwata played?

Tochigi City vs Jubilo Iwata is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at City Football Station, in the J2 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tochigi City vs Jubilo Iwata: prediction and stats

J2 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)City Football Station, Tochigi

Tochigi City

Jubilo Iwata

The Footlab model makes Tochigi City the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Jubilo Iwata. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tochigi City vs Jubilo Iwata?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Tochigi City (1,821) and Jubilo Iwata (1,769).

Tochigi City win52 %

Draw24 %

Jubilo Iwata win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi City have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Jubilo Iwata have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tochigi City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sagan Tosu(away)	3-1	J2 League
Aug 15, 2026	Vanraure Hachinohe(home)	5-0	J2 League
Aug 9, 2026	Montedio Yamagata(away)	0-2	J2 League
Jul 15, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	3-1	J2/J3 League

Jubilo Iwata
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tokushima Vortis(home)	2-1	J2 League
Aug 16, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	1-3	J2 League
Aug 8, 2026	Blaublitz Akita(home)	1-1	J2 League
Jun 6, 2026	Osaka(home)	1-1	J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026	Tochigi City(away)	2-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tochigi City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Jubilo Iwata win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	Tochigi City 2-2 Jubilo Iwata	J2/J3 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi City vs Jubilo Iwata on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tochigi City score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jubilo Iwata score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tochigi City	1.6	1.5	3	7/15	10/15
Jubilo Iwata	1.3	1.3	3	11/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tochigi City sit 8th in J2 League (21 points from 18 matches) and Jubilo Iwata sit 8th (25 points from 18 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Tochigi City	3	2	0	1	8	3	6
8	Jubilo Iwata	18	5	6	7	16	23	25
8	Tochigi City	18	5	4	9	20	33	21
12	Jubilo Iwata	3	1	1	1	4	5	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tochigi City vs Jubilo Iwata?: The Footlab model makes Tochigi City the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Jubilo Iwata.
Where and when is Tochigi City vs Jubilo Iwata played?: Tochigi City vs Jubilo Iwata is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at City Football Station, in the J2 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.