Where and when is Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita played?

Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Pocari Sweat Stadium, in the J2 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita: prediction and stats

J2 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Pocari Sweat Stadium, Naruto

Tokushima Vortis

Oita Trinita

The Footlab model makes Tokushima Vortis the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Oita Trinita. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Tokushima Vortis (1,814) and Oita Trinita (1,717).

Tokushima Vortis win53 %

Draw27 %

Oita Trinita win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokushima Vortis have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Oita Trinita have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokushima Vortis
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	FC Tokushima(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Jubilo Iwata(away)	1-2	J2 League
Aug 16, 2026	Sagan Tosu(home)	0-0	J2 League
Aug 8, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-2	J2 League
Jun 7, 2026	Iwaki(home)	2-0	J2/J3 League

Oita Trinita
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Iwaki(away)	0-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Iwaki(home)	4-1	J2 League
Aug 15, 2026	Vegalta Sendai(away)	0-0	J2 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	0-1	J2 League
Jun 7, 2026	Montedio Yamagata(home)	1-0	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tokushima Vortis win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Oita Trinita win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 21, 2025	Tokushima Vortis 2-0 Oita Trinita	J2 League
Apr 13, 2025	Oita Trinita 1-1 Tokushima Vortis	J2 League
Sep 14, 2024	Tokushima Vortis 3-1 Oita Trinita	J2 League
Jun 1, 2024	Oita Trinita 1-2 Tokushima Vortis	J2 League
Sep 16, 2023	Oita Trinita 3-3 Tokushima Vortis	J2 League
Feb 19, 2023	Tokushima Vortis 1-2 Oita Trinita	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita on Jun 21, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tokushima Vortis score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oita Trinita score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokushima Vortis	1.5	1.5	4	8/15	10/15
Oita Trinita	1.0	1.1	6	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokushima Vortis sit 18th in J2 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Oita Trinita sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Tokushima Vortis	18	9	3	6	36	22	32
7	Oita Trinita	18	6	3	9	18	18	22
9	Oita Trinita	3	1	1	1	4	2	4
18	Tokushima Vortis	3	0	1	2	1	4	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita?: The Footlab model makes Tokushima Vortis the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Oita Trinita.
Where and when is Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita played?: Tokushima Vortis vs Oita Trinita is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Pocari Sweat Stadium, in the J2 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.