Match

Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, Białystok

Jagiellonia IIOlimpia Zambrów

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Olimpia Zambrów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Jagiellonia II (1,775) and Olimpia Zambrów (1,704).

Jagiellonia II win51 %
Draw22 %
Olimpia Zambrów win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Weszlo(away)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)3-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Warta Sieradz(away)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Wigry Suwałki(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Olimpia Zambrów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)4-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Swit(away)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)5-0III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Jagiellonia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Olimpia Zambrów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 29, 2025Jagiellonia II 3-0 Olimpia ZambrówFriendlies Clubs
May 25, 2024Jagiellonia II 2-0 Olimpia ZambrówIII Liga - Group 1
Nov 4, 2023Olimpia Zambrów 0-1 Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1
Mar 19, 2023Jagiellonia II 2-1 Olimpia ZambrówIII Liga - Group 1
Aug 17, 2022Olimpia Zambrów 0-4 Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1
Sep 12, 2020Olimpia Zambrów 1-2 Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów on Jan 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia II1.61.739/159/15
Olimpia Zambrów1.91.928/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia II sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Olimpia Zambrów530213119
10Jagiellonia II5221998

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów?
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Olimpia Zambrów.
Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Jagiellonia II and Olimpia Zambrów

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