Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, Białystok
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Olimpia Zambrów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Jagiellonia II (1,775) and Olimpia Zambrów (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Jagiellonia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Olimpia Zambrów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Jagiellonia II 3-0 Olimpia Zambrów | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 2-0 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Olimpia Zambrów 0-1 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Jagiellonia II 2-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 17, 2022 | Olimpia Zambrów 0-4 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Olimpia Zambrów 1-2 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów on Jan 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jagiellonia II sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów?
- The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Olimpia Zambrów.
- Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
- Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027SwitvsWisła Płock II
- May 22, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsWarta Sieradz
- May 22, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsWidzew II
- May 22, 2027Mławianka MławavsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- May 22, 2027ŁomżavsWigry Suwałki
- May 22, 2027TroszynvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- May 22, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsOlimpia Elbląg
- May 22, 2027WeszlovsPelikan Łowicz